Wednesday, August 1, 2018

Tuesday Recap, July 31 2018

We go 5-0 MLB if Flaherty doesn't groove a fastball to Blackmon with 2 out 2 strikes T5. Tough loss. The WNBA OVER was flying Over until a 24 point 4Q. Dallas didn't show up for the 1H, got down 20 at half, then blew out Chicago in the 2H but lost by a point. They were a great 2H play at -10.5. So a solid 5-3 that with a little luck could have been 7-1. Here is what I sent out.........

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The last day of July as we head into August. Split out last night. WNBA back in action for those interested. Here is what we have for today….

MLB
NY Yankees (-1.5) -150
Tampa Bay +121
Cleveland -150
Cleveland (-1.5) +100
St Louis F5 -115

WNBA
Washington/Atlanta OVER 162 (50-25, 5-1) (71-31, 3-0)
Dallas -10.5 (49-24, 10-3)
Seattle -3 (42-15, 7-2) (53-22, 1-1)

Yankees have a solid player indicator trend working for them tonight. Tampa Bay the same Home Dog play that we hit with Seattle last night. Cleveland does very well off a 1 run loss when they are favored by 140+ and its after the AS Break. Since 2012 they are 20-0 with 16 covering the -1.5. Lets play both.

I want no part of the St Louis bullpen, they were used a lot last night, so taking the F5 with St Louis.  Gray has not been good away from Coor’s Field this year, he’s made 9 starts on the road and his ERA is 5.89 with a WHIP of 1.45.  Flaherty has made 16 starts and has allowed 3 runs or less in 13 of those 16. In 9 of those starts he's allowed 1 run or less. When Gray pitches on the road and the total is 7 to 8.5 the record 7-20 the last 2 seasons. 

So we have a pitcher that struggles away from home vs a pitcher that has been solid all year. F5 takes out the bullpens and makes it a starter vs starter play. 

Thought about laying the -.5, but lets take the F5 ML for -115.

The OVER is a road team off a blowout loss. Dallas is a fade of Chicago, a high scoring road dog off a DD loss. Seattle a road team with positive line movement and a play against their opponent tonight. Fading Phoenix, a Home Dog that just lost by DD allowing a lot of points.

This should do it, have a Great Day.

Biz

No comments:

Post a Comment