Monday, September 3, 2018

Weekend Recap, Fri-Sun, August 31 - Sept 2 2018

Friday Aug 31

NCAAF
Colorado St +7.5

CFL
Ottawa/Montreal OVER 52

MLB
Minnesota +110
Boston/Chi Sox F5 UNDER 4.5
San Diego +122

Minnesota fits a nice road dog system. 

The F5 Under is an umpire play with Will Little. 26-11-1, 15-4 last 3 years and 4-1 TY. 

San Diego on a nice win streak, Colorado getting massive public support - 82% bets/74% money  - yet the line has dropped from +134 to +122. Gambler’s fallacy…..the crappy team can’t possibly win again. Yes they can, they swept Seattle and won Gm 1 last night. Senzatela for the Rockies recently had a stint on the DL and he hasn’t been that great lately either. Take the Padres.

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Saturday Sep 1

NCAAF
Coastal Carolina +30
Indiana/FIU UNDER 56.5 (pass if 57.5+)
Bowling Green +34.5
Washington St/Wyoming UNDER 46
Michigan -140
South Alabama +10.5

MLB
Philadelphia +127
Minnesota -110
Minnesota (-1.5) +139
Colorado (-1.5) +107
Seattle/Oakland OVER 8

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Sunday Sep 2

MLB
Milwaukee -114
Milwaukee (-1.5) +150

Road Fav that was a road dog and blew a lead late.  This has been a very strong spot, and covers the -1.5 a lot (66%). You can play the ML only if you don’t want to risk 2U on this game. 

Oakland -114

Last game of a 4 game series, A’s have won the last 21 times the pen has allowed 2+ runs and its post AS Break. They are also 15-0 as a 130+ Fav when Matt Chapman went hitless the previous game. Huge game for both clubs, going with the A’s. 

Houston (-1.5) +110 

Solid fade spot on the Angels where they have lost the last 36 games in this situation with 28 by 2+. Ohtani also returns to the mound, have to wonder how effective he’ll be. 

CFL
Winnipeg +3.5




Friday, August 31, 2018

Thursday Recap, August 30 2018

NFL
Indianapolis/Cincinnati UNDER 34.5
Marvin Lewis 9-3-1 UNDER in last pre season game including 6 of last 7.

Carolina/Pittsburgh UNDER 36
Mike Tomlin 9-1-1 UNDER last pre season game, Ron Rivera is 6-1 UNDER last pre season game.

Minnesota PK or -1
Denver PK or -1
Minnesota and Denver fit a line move system for the pre season. They are a play only at PK/-1. 

NCAAF
Savannah St +38.5
Savannah St fits a week 1 system. We are playing 4+ TD dogs with a moderate total vs a bowl team from last year. We have another one on Saturday. Its really hard to play teams laying this many points, and yes its entirely possible teams like this get blown out. Its 45-18 since 2005, the last 3 years 12-1, 4-2, 5-4 with the next 2 years 2-5, 1-2 followed by 3-0, 9-1. 

As you can see some years a lot of plays, other years not too many. There is only one other game that is triggered by this system. Hold your nose and play Savannah St +38.5

Missouri St +42.5
Northwestern St +47
Both teams fit the same situation. Again a 4+ TD dog playing a bowl team, the total is 56+ and the line moves with them (line rises). 36-12 since 2005 and never a losing year. 20-2 the last 3 years, 10-5 the 3 years prior to that.  We are just hoping these guys don’t give up 60+ points. 

One other game triggered for Saturday.  Again, hold your nose and play Missouri St +40 and Northwestern St +47. 

At no point during these games will you feel comfortable. We are huge dogs and these teams will give up a lot of points. Missou St is playing in Stillwater, and I’m sure Ok St will score plenty. We just need a cover. 

Tulane now +6.5/+7 that was given out yesterday.  So 4 NCAAF and 4 NFLX. Have a Great Night and good luck with your action.

Biz

Thursday, August 30, 2018

BIZ Free Play, August 30 2018

Missed yesterday's Parlay, for today's Free Play...................

Carolina/Pittsburgh UNDER 36

Strictly a coaching play as Mike Tomlin 9-1-1 UNDER last pre season game, Ron Rivera is 6-1 UNDER last pre season game.

Take Carolina/Pittsburgh UNDER 36 as the BIZ Free Play.

Folks the NCAAF really gets started this weekend, with the NFL opening next weekend. I will have you ready to win all the way through the Super Bowl.

Biz112763@gmail.com is how I can be reached, have a Great Day.

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

BIZ Free Play, August 29 2019

Solid win with our Free Play yesterday.....

Boston (-1.5)/New York Yankees (-1.5) +178 

Lets take a shot with a RL parlay.  The ML parlay pays -130, but both teams are in a situation where they cover the -1.5 a lot.

Take Boston (-1.5)/NY Yankees (-1.5) +178 for your BIZ Free Play today.

I have a NCAAF game Thursday that I really like. My football database is ready for another outstanding year. $300 for every play thru the Super Bowl. Every sport, every play you will not find a better deal for winning action.

Biz112763@gmail.com is how I can be reached. Have a Great Day.

Tuesday Recap, August 28 2018

MLB
NY Yankees (-1.5) -130
Cleveland (-1.5) -120
St Louis (-1.5) +115
San Diego +107

MLB - ML PARLAY +106
NY Yankees
Cleveland

All system plays. Have a Great Day.

Biz

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

BIZ Free Play, Tuesday Aug 28 2018

Been busy working on Football. Here is tonight's Free Play.

NY Yankees/Cleveland ML PARLAY +106

Both teams fit very strong situations with a very high WP. Play them in a ML Parlay.

Take NYY/Cleveland +106 as your BIZ Free Play.

Football starts this weekend, if you are serious about making money this football season contact me at biz112763@gmail.com. 

My football service is second to none.  I don't bloat my records with ridiculous unit or money grades.  1-3U per play, something any serious investor does. Last year combined 60 units NFL/NCAAF, NFL Playoffs 11-3. 

Get on board folks, I set my fee at a price point that is affordable, and will be the smartest investment you make this season. $300 gets you every play in every sport thru the Super Bowl. My profit plans work for every bankroll. Have a Great day.


Monday Recap, August 27 2018

What a brutal B8. 2 run lead and relievers come in and walk batters. Walking a guy hitting a buck 45 with 2 outs and a 7-6 lead was inexcusable. 

MLB
Colorado -122
Baltimore +121

Colorado is a system play.  

Baltimore has lost 8 in a row, and just dropped a series to the hated Yankees.  They are home vs Toronto, and Toronto isn’t great by any means. Gaviglio is 2-7 on the road this year. The opponent has scored 6+ in 8 of them. The problem is that the Orioles have scuffled a bit offensively lately. Hess has been up and down, but has allowed 3 or less in his last 3 starts. 

I’m taking a shot with the awful Orioles tonight. They can’t lose every game, and tonight Toronto is a very beatable opponent. Slight line drop with 74% on Toronto. 

Just these 2 plays tonight. Have a Great Day.

Sunday Recap, August 26 2018

MLB
Washington/NY Mets F5 UNDER 5

Umpire play

NY Mets -113

Nats are a mess again, we’ve talked about that for a few months. They have also lost the last 9 times Harper went hitless in a road game.

Miami +161

Nice dog system and Miami plays hard every night. Atlanta also has not hit well at all lately.

Tampa Bay -121
Tampa Bay (-1.5) +170

This is a nice little system fading the road dog that outscores their opponent, but scored 1 or less last game. Taking TB.

Chi Sox -121 
Chi Sox (-1.5) +131

Kopech gets another start after that rain delayed game earlier this week. It fits a solid fade spot for Detroit who has lost their last 21 games in this situation with 16 covering the -1.5. 

LA Dodgers (-1.5) -115

Solid walk off win system.

Saturday Recap, August 25 2018

CFL game wins both with 2 min left.  Just need Calgary to get a couple 1st downs and run out the clock.  They hit a long TD pass, then on the next desperate drive Winnipeg throws a Pick 6. From 2-0 to 0-2 in 30 seconds.


MLB - PARLAY
Cleveland (-1.5) -180/Houston -183 PAYING +140
Houston (-1.5) -122/Cleveland -286 PAYING +145

Both teams win and cover the -1.5 a lot. Will do a cross parlay. We need both to win and at least one to cover the -1.5.

MLB
Chi Sox -107

Like the pitching matchup, lots of action on the Sox and the line flipped from dog to fav. 

CFL
Winnipeg +9 (43-18, 0-0)
Winnipeg/Calgary UNDER 53.5 (55-18, 1-1) (33-15, 1-1) (55-20, 4-1)

Several UNDER systems on this game, and Winnipeg fits a spot on a Road Dog that just lost as a favorite.

Friday Recap, August 24 2018

Brutal loss with Pittsburgh.

MLB
Philadelphia/Toronto OVER 9

Umpire play with Pat Hoberg. 25-11 and 4-2 TY for a Home Dog with a total of 7.5-9.5. 

Atlanta (-1.5) -124

Rod Fav system that is 84-25 ML and 75-34 RL. Solid ROI for both plays. TY 24-9 and 22-11. Taking the -1.5 with Atlanta.

Tampa Bay +115

77% bets on Boston yet 58% money on the Rays. TB has had a sneaky good year, and have played well at home going 38-24. Boston sends out Hector Velasquez, so getting a back end rotation guy laying a price on the road. I’ll take a shot with the Rays tonight.  

Pittsburgh +117

71%/66% bets/money for Milwaukee and the line hasn’t moved. I like the Musgrove/Miley matchup for Pittsburgh. Pirates are really scuffling with the bats, but a change of venue starting a road trip may wake them up. Taking the Pirates at plus money.

Minnesota +115

The A’s are my favorite team in any sport. I think they may start to come back to earth after a scorching hot 2 months. 85%/70% yet the line has dropped 11 cents. They also fit a long time angle that I’ve mentioned before, a good team that has finally lost two in a row after having had a 5+ game winning streak. A’s had a nice win streak earlier and finally lost consecutive games.  Taking the Twins.

Friday, August 24, 2018

Thursday Recap, August 23 2018

A miserable 0-4 day......

MLB
Tampa Bay (-1.5) +130

Tampa Bay has several indicators today, several fading KC. KC has 3 separate indicators that are 0-34 (10-24), 0-23 (6-17), and 0-12 (3-9). (-1.5 record). Take Tampa Bay once again on the RL.

Cincinnati +186
Chicago Cubs TT UNDER 5

Few things at work here. The Reds are 8-5 in games DeSclafani starts with a 25.5% ROI, he’s 6-2 as a dog 71.8% ROI. The Cubs have lost their last 10 games going back the last couple seasons as a 165+ fav, off a game as a fav with several multi run innings and less than 15 hits. 0-3 this year each time a 200+ fav. In these 10 games they have never scored more than 5 runs and eight times 4 or less. 

Yesterday they scored 8 runs, they scored one run the previous 5 games. Over their last 14 games they have scored more than 5 runs twice, 5 runs once, and 4 or less the other 11 games. They are 11-2-1 at today’s TT their last 14 games. The TT UNDER 5 is definitely something to think about.

Tampa Bay/Oakland ML Parlay +148

I talked about TB above. Oakland has won their last 18 games as a 140+ favorite when they scored in 2 or fewer innings in their previous game. 17-0 this year. They tend to bounce back after a lack luster offensive showing. They don’t necessarily explode, 6+ runs 11 times those 18 games. The OVER 5 is juiced at -140 making this too expensive to play. Take TB/Oak in a ML parlay.

We will go with these 4 plays. Have a Great Day.

Biz

Thursday, August 23, 2018

BIZ Free Play, August 23 2018

Couple solid winners last night, on a nice Free Play roll........

Tampa Bay (-1.5) +130

Tampa Bay has several indicators today, several fading KC. KC has 3 separate indicators that are 0-34 (10-24), 0-23 (6-17), and 0-12 (3-9). (-1.5 record). Danny Duffy was also activated off the DL for tonight's start vs TB. 

Take Tampa Bay (-1.5) +130 as your BIZ Free Play.

Football in less than 2 weeks, if you are serious about making money this football season contact me at biz112763@gmail.com. 

My football service is second to none.  I don't bloat my records with ridiculous unit or money grades.  1-3U per play, something any serious investor does. Last year combined 60 units NFL/NCAAF, NFL Playoffs 11-3. 

Get on board folks, I set my fee at a price point that is affordable, and will be the smartest investment you make this season. $300 gets you every play in every sport thru the Super Bowl. My profit plans work for every bankroll. Have a Great day.

Wednesday Recap, August 22 2018

4-1 Wednesday night including 3-0 on 2 Team Parlays paying +620

MLB
Atlanta/Pittsburgh F5 OVER 4.5

Umpire play with David Rackley. 38-16-6 and 4-3 TY with totals in the 4.5/5 range. Pitt has had their troubles scoring late, but we will go with the F5 based on Rackley. 

Chicago Cubs (-1.5) -115

Cubs in a great spot when Lester is off a game with no walks and he gave up 6 or less. Won last 15 with 12 covering the -1.5. Detroit has lost 20 straight, 15 by 2+, they are a Home Dog off a game where they had less LOB than their Opponent and its AASB. Laying the -1.5 here.

Chicago Cubs/Tampa Bay ML Parlay +140

TB fits a very solid system tonight. Taking these two in a ML Parlay

Chicago Cubs/Arizona ML Parlay + 140

Arizona fits several systems, including a couple walk off win systems. Angels also in a spot where they have lost 34 straight games. 

Tampa Bay (-1.5)/Arizona (-1.5) RL Parlay +340

Both games fit for the -1.5, so lets parlay them and go for the +340. 

5 plays tonight.

Yankees fit a couple solid systems, but that line has tanked 30 points with more money on Miami despite the public bets pounding the Yankees. Just staying away from that game. 

Have a Great Day.

Biz

Wednesday, August 22, 2018

BIZ Free Play, August 22 2018

Great win yesterday with the SF TT Under 4, just a fantastic spot to take that bet. For today......

Chicago Cubs (-1.5) -115
Cubs/Tampa Bay Parlay +140

Chicago fits a very profitable spot with Lester, and Detroit is historically very bad in today's situation. Cubs are also a great anchor to any parlay and today we will play Tampa Bay with the Cubs in a parlay.

Take Chicago Cubs (-1.5) -115 and CHC/TB Parlay +140 as today's BIZ Free Plays. 

Football in less than 3 weeks, if you are serious about making money this football season contact me at biz112763@gmail.com. 

My football service is second to none.  I don't bloat my records with ridiculous unit or money grades.  1-3U per play, something any serious investor does. Last year combined 60 units NFL/NCAAF, NFL Playoffs 11-3. 

Get on board folks, I set my fee at a price point that is affordable, and will be the smartest investment you make this season.  My profit plans work for every bankroll. Have a Great day.

Tuesday Recap, August 21 2018

3-3, 3-2 if you played listed pitchers with Seattle. Seattle had their chances in a close 3-2 loss, and the Chi Sox blew a great chance at the lead B8 with awful base running. 
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MLB
San Francisco TT UNDER 4

SF fits a team trend. Off a road win where they scored 3 or less post ASB (all star break) and its the same series. They have lost their last 11 and but prior to that won 9 of 13. So the W/L are pretty random.  However, over these 24 games they have scored 4 or less 20 times and less than 4 runs 15 times. So scoring 4 or less the record is 15-4-5. Lets play the SF TT UNDER 4.

Cleveland/Boston F5 OVER 5

Umpire play. Brian Knight is 35-14-7 when the F5 total is set at 5. 5.5 is decent but we need 5. If this line closes at 5.5 its a pass.


Cincinnati/Milwaukee F5 OVER 5

Another umpire play. Hal Gibson III who we lost with Sunday. Lets try him one more time. 25-8-3 when the F5 is 5/5.5. Every year a solid wining year, so far he’s 3-3. One more time with the Over 5.

Chi Sox +103

We hit them last night at a nice price, on them again. Berrios for Minnesota is 2-15 on the road when he won his last start, having lost his last 14 starts in this situation. We also get the debut of the hard throwing Michael Kopech, the prized acquisition from the Chris Sale trade. This dude hits 100+, and is getting a nice audition in the bigs. This line has dropped from +125. Take the Chi Sox again.

St Louis/LA Dodgers UNDER 8.5

Solid spot with two pitchers that in their last start threw 6+ scoreless innings. 

Seattle +120

Mariners a good Home Dog playing a good team that has lost 3 of 4. Its 3-2 this year with the last match being 8/12 with Colorado at a nice +165. 

6 plays, Have a Great Day.

Biz

Tuesday, August 21, 2018

BIZ Free Play, August 21 2018

Lost our Free Play last night, unfortunately gave out the losing play and not the Chi Sox. For tonight...

San Francisco Team Total UNDER 4

SF fits a team trend. Off a road win where they scored 3 or less post ASB (all star break) and its the same series. They have lost their last 11 and but prior to that won 9 of 13. So the W/L are pretty random.  However, over these 24 games they have scored 4 or less 20 times and less than 4 runs 15 times. So scoring 4 or less the record is 15-4-5. 

Take San Francisco Team Total UNDER 4 as the BIZ Free Play.


Monday Recap, August 20 2018

MLB
Chi Sox +151
Houston (-1.5) -105

PARLAY 1U/1.4U
Oakland/Houston 

Houston fits a solid system, not to mention they got swept at home vs Seattle. Time for a little payback with the far superior pitcher

Chi Sox a nice dog spot, going against a rookie pitcher for the Twins that has no business being priced in this range. Giolito can be up and down for the Sox, but at this price he’s a must play.

Information only…Baltimore and Harbaugh like to win pre season games. 10-1 SU/ATS since 2015 and of course we played the one loss a few weeks ago…a game they should have covered. 

Monday, August 20, 2018

BIZ Free Play August 20 2018

Hope everyone enjoyed their weekend, today's BIZ Free Play.......

Houston (-1.5) -105

Houston just got swept at home by the Mariners, and tonight enjoy a massive pitching advantage. They also fit a profitable situation that covers the -1.5 often in this situation.

Take Houston (-1.5) -105 as your BIZ Free Play.

Football in less than 3 weeks, if you are serious about making money this football season contact me at biz112763@gmail.com.

My football service is second to none.  I don't bloat my records with ridiculous unit or money grades.  1-3U per play, something any serious investor does. Last year my service produced 60 units of profit, and this year we will do it again. Have a Great day.

Sat/Sun August 18-19 2018, Weekend Recap

Atlanta up 3-0, 2 out/bases empty and they can't close the game. Denver allows 2 TDS in the last 8 minutes to lose the game. Can't wait for the regular season. 

Baseball continues to run well, 15-13 last week for +4.6 units. 

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MLB
Baltimore/Cleveland F5 UNDER 5

Umpire play, Nick Lentz is our guy. Totals of 4.5 or 5 he’s 31-14 and 26-9 the last 2 years after going 5-5 in 2016. He’s a newer ump and really trends to the UNDER. This year he’s 12-4.

Chicago Cubs/Pittsburgh UNDER 8.5

Situational play with a Road Dog that was favored last game and didn’t score after the 3rd inning. 71-29 since 2010, 4-5 the last couple years after going 3-7 in 2016. My notes also say take the 1st inning NO. 

Atlanta (-1.5) +137

Great spot for Atlanta, pitching matchup in their favor. Senzatela not as good on the road, while Foltynewicz has some really good home numbers. 8 times this year Colorado has won the first two games of a road series and have lost Gm 3 seven times all by 2+ runs. Lets grab some of that plus money with the Braves.

Kansas City/Chi Sox F5 OVER 5

Umpire play with Hal Gibson III. Games in the 5-5.5 range he’s 25-7-3 and 3-2-1 this year. Been in the league since 2013 and had a winning OVER record each year. Lets roll with the OVER F5 today.

Cleveland/Atlanta PARLAY +152

Cleveland in a solid historical spot for them, and taking the aforementioned Braves in a 2 team ML parlay.

NFL
Denver -3
San Francisco/Houston OVER 42.5

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MLB
Colorado +117

Brutal beat for Atlanta last night and the Rockies have the much better pitcher. Public on Braves too and the line hasn’t moved. 

WNBA
Indiana +8
Indiana/Chicago UNDER 167.5
Los Angeles/Connecticut UNDER 161

Indiana has multiple angles working for them.  The UNDER is the late season angle AND also another one. LA/Conn also has the late season and the 2 good teams with the home team playing well angle. I didn’t play late season UNDER game, just those that had an additional angle.

Saturday, August 18, 2018

BIZ Free Play, August 18 2018

Won again yesterday with our MLB Parlay paying +139. For today's BIZ Free Play......

MLB: Cleveland/Atlanta PARLAY +150

Cleveland in a spot where they are 27-0, while Atlanta looking to bounce back with a solid pitching advantage tonight. Senzatela not as good on the road, while Foltynewicz much better at home.  Colorado also 1-7 in Gm 3 of a road series this year when they've won the first 2 games. 

Take Cleveland/Atlanta +150 for your BIZ Free Play for today.

Football in less than 3 weeks, if you are serious about making money this football season contact me at biz112763@gmail.com. My football service is second to none.  I don't bloat my records with ridiculous unit or money grades.  1-3U per play, something any serious investor does. Have a Great day.

Friday Recap, August 17 2018

A complete split out thanks to the awful CFL game. MLB again with a solid night, 3-1 missing the 4-0 losing the OVER in the NYM/Phil game.  We got 3 runs early but just couldn’t scratch across much more. A great late inning rally by both teams got us the OVER in Minnesota, Mil/StL gave us a ridiculous sweat after they were cruising to an Under but it got there…and our Parlay hit when the Yankees game was called after 7 inn.

The WNBA was 4-3, but a little disappointed in those totals. Geezus I thought Dirk suited up in Dallas. High scores everywhere, but they didn’t crush us going 2-3 while we got both sides to hit to get us a positive day with the ladies. 

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MLB
NY Mets/Philadelphia OVER 7.5

This one is team specific to the Mets.  They have gone OVER the last 19 games as a Road Dog of 140+ when they lost their previous game when they held the lead and its AASB (After All Star Break). Today we have Syndegaard vs Nola, two very good pitchers. There have been several games with strong pitching matchups and the games has soared Over the number. Take the OVER 7.5

Detroit/Minnesota OVER 8.5

This is an umpire play with Las Diaz behind the plate. AL games with a total of 8-8.5 he has gone 49-19 since 2008 and 2-2 this year. Strictly an umpire play, take the OVER 8.5

Milwaukee/St Louis UNDER 8

Peralta has never faced St Louis, and his K rate is over 12+ per 9 innings in road games. Milwaukee has struggled facing Flaherty in the past, hitting .143 in 48 plate appearances. Flaherty also pitches much better at home. Take the UNDER 8

NY Yankees/Washington/Cleveland Parlay (1U/1.38)

Marcus Stroman has lost his last 12 starts as a Road Dog when he won his previous start. 12-1 in his career. Yankees -190 so I’m attaching it with these two games. Scherzer home vs Miami and Carrasco home vs Baltimore. Both huge favorites. 

4 MLB games.

WNBA
Los Angeles/Washington UNDER 158 (143-82, 3-1) (59-16, 8-3)
Los Angeles +3.5 (62-24, 5-2)
Minnesota/Connecticut UNDER 161 (143-82, 3-1) (59-16, 8-3)
Las Vegas/Dallas UNDER 175 (143-82, 3-1) (63-24, 0-0)
New York/Seattle UNDER 163.5 (143-82, 3-1)
Atlanta/Phoenix UNDER 167 (143-82, 3-1)
Phoenix -3.5 (87-30, 1-2)

These totals fit a late season system that is very simple. Bet the UNDER game 31 or later (only 35 games in the season). 143-82 and 3-1 this year.  I just stumbled onto this one the other day. Every game fits. LV/Dallas fits a sub category involving 2 bad teams. 

LA/Wash and Minn/Conn also fit a solid system, two winning teams with the home team playing very well lately, winning 5/6 out of their last 7 games. These are also Under situations.

LA fits a situation involving a road dog that hasn’t covered their last 3 games.  Phoenix is a play against their opponent, Atlanta a Road Dog that has won their last 3 games.

7 WNBA games

CFL
Ottawa/Winnipeg UNDER 54 (44-16, 6-3) (55-18, 1-1)
Winnipeg 1H -3.5
Winnipeg -6.5 (40-16, 6-1)