NBA
Houston -3.5: (56-27, 0-2) (68-32, 11-7)
Houston/Boston UNDER 229: 25-10, 1-0)
Dallas -3.5: (98-41, 3-1) (64-30, 16-7)
New York/Dallas UNDER 201.5: (49-21, 5-3)
Philadelphia/Milwaukee OVER 207.5: (46-21, 1-0) 16-4 on a BTB, 1-0 TY
Boston is Fade material today, a HD that just lost on the road with a decent WP. Also fading a HD that is allows a lot of points and they scored a lot last game. The UNDER play involves a team that just lost as a RF (Houston) committing a lot of TOs. Dallas is a well rested favorite playing another bad team. Also fading a mediocre team that averages a lot of points and scored a lot last game. The NY/Dal UNDER involves a RD that has allowed a lot recently and is a good offensive team. Philly/Mil OVER involves a RD that just won at home by DD while scoring a lot more than expected. When the team is on a BTB the Over has gone 16-4.
NCAAB
Western Carolina +15.5: (42-16, 0-2)
VMI +20: (59-16, 5-4)
UNLV/Wyoming UNDER 152.5: (92-32, 32-13)
UC Santa Barbara +1.5: (37-14, 5-3)
W Carolina is a DD RD that doesn't score a lot and they gave up quite a bit last game, playing a team with a mediocre defense. VMI a road team that has allowed a lot of points recently, playing a team that won but didn't blowout their last opponent. The UNDER is our pace play that has been tremendous all year long. Finally we have UCSB as a RF/Small RD that scores a lot of points and just got blown out.
5 NBA and 4 NCAAB. I'll be back later tonight with a full recap of the day's action and some thoughts on when is it a good time to place your wager. I saw a some misinformation floating around on the site promotions forum about that. Thanks for stopping by, have a great day, and good luck with your action.
Did you really change that under from 229 to 230?
ReplyDeleteThat number closed at 230. I have to get picks out before I leave for work. It opened 230, went to 229.5, then 229, then back to 230.
ReplyDeleteEvery person I know who played it got 230. In a perfect world, I would post as late as possible and get the best line. I can't do that because of time constraints. I got 230 at my book. I have to throw out a number for the games.
I could always just post the play and grade on the closing number too. I choose to put a number out there.
It's back to 229. It's a winning play which is really the point. When I'm posting plays I grab them from the scores and odds page. It's easier than going to my book and finding the line. As I said, I could always grade on the closing line. It's a convenience thing. I played it at 230, everyone I know got 230, and my buddies and I were talking about how it shouldn't have been close. I logged in and saw 229 which was the worst line possible for that game and a line virtually nobody got.
ReplyDeleteAgain, anyone who played that game won. That's really all that matters.
Biz,
ReplyDeleteI don't care what line you use. All I care about is the play. I got 230 and never saw 229 at all. A solid winning play.
Your explanation is fine. I appreciate all of your efforts, time, and hard work. I sincerely appreciate it. Keep doing what you do. Nice job today.
I unfortunately had the 229 line
ReplyDeleteBiz,
ReplyDeleteReally?? Someone splitting hairs over a posted line?? I also got 230 and never saw 229.
What's important is the quality of the selection, not some arbitrary line. Let me also echo what the previous person said. Thank you very much for all of your efforts. High quality stuff despite a rough patch lately.
I've followed you for several years, you are a solid handicapper. Posting here takes time and effort, and I'm sure I speak for many that we greatly appreciate it. Love your style of handicapping, and your NCAAB has made me a lot of money. You should consider posting a PayPal link, I would absolutely send you a gratuity for your efforts. Continued success.
Damn really Andrew?
ReplyDeleteMy apologies to you I never saw it and was checking the line often. Brutal push tho. I think we've beat this to death. Let's just call it a push and move on.