Monday, September 3, 2018

Weekend Recap, Fri-Sun, August 31 - Sept 2 2018

Friday Aug 31

NCAAF
Colorado St +7.5

CFL
Ottawa/Montreal OVER 52

MLB
Minnesota +110

Boston/Chi Sox F5 UNDER 4.5
San Diego +122

Minnesota fits a nice road dog system. 

The F5 Under is an umpire play with Will Little. 26-11-1, 15-4 last 3 years and 4-1 TY. 

San Diego on a nice win streak, Colorado getting massive public support - 82% bets/74% money  - yet the line has dropped from +134 to +122. Gambler’s fallacy…..the crappy team can’t possibly win again. Yes they can, they swept Seattle and won Gm 1 last night. Senzatela for the Rockies recently had a stint on the DL and he hasn’t been that great lately either. Take the Padres.

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Saturday Sep 1



NCAAF

Coastal Carolina +30
Indiana/FIU UNDER 56.5 (pass if 57.5+)
Bowling Green +34.5
Washington St/Wyoming UNDER 46

Michigan -140
South Alabama +10.5



MLB

Philadelphia +127
Minnesota -110
Minnesota (-1.5) +139
Colorado (-1.5) +107
Seattle/Oakland OVER 8

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Sunday Sep 2

MLB
Milwaukee -114

Milwaukee (-1.5) +150

Road Fav that was a road dog and blew a lead late.  This has been a very strong spot, and covers the -1.5 a lot (66%). You can play the ML only if you don’t want to risk 2U on this game. 

Oakland -114

Last game of a 4 game series, A’s have won the last 21 times the pen has allowed 2+ runs and its post AS Break. They are also 15-0 as a 130+ Fav when Matt Chapman went hitless the previous game. Huge game for both clubs, going with the A’s. 

Houston (-1.5) +110 

Solid fade spot on the Angels where they have lost the last 36 games in this situation with 28 by 2+. Ohtani also returns to the mound, have to wonder how effective he’ll be. 

CFL
Winnipeg +3.5