Thursday, January 12, 2017

Thursday, January 12 2017 - Hoops and Hockey

                                            NBA 1/12
New Orleans -4: (97-41, 2-1)
New Orleans/Brooklyn UNDER 217.5 (26-9, 2-1)
LA Lakers/San Antonio UNDER 212 (52-22, 0-2)

                                            NCAAB 1/12

William & Mary/UNC Wilmington UNDER 162.5 (31-11, 2-1)
Delaware +10.5: (42-15, 0-1)
Drexel +10: (62-23, 3-2)
Wright St/Wisconsin GB UNDER 154 (95-36, 29-14)
Iowa +6: (60-29, 0-0)
Utah -5.5: (88-45, 0-0)
SMU +6: (102-48, 0-0)

                                           NHL 1/12

Boston (-1.5) +266 (54-58, 2-0)
New Jersey +163 (36-21, 3-0)

Anthony Davis is listed as questionable, this is a play only if AD plays which he probably will. The LA/SA angle is an interesting one. Playing the Under where both teams lost their previous, with 1 good team playing at home and the other a bad one.  Coming off a loss the good team will play with a bit more intensity on the defensive end and these games tend to go under. Slow start this year at 0-2 but that just means we are due for a W. It has been a winning situation every year for the past 10 years, not one losing season. 


Couple thoughts on a few of the NCAA games. Drexel is basically playing ON a Road Dog with a lousy ATS vs a good ATS team.  Wright St/WGB is that same under play we lost with last night. Its been very good this year.  7 games triggered tonight, the NCAAB games have been great so far this year and I expect that solid start to continue tonight.


Finally some NHL action.  Now the NHL games will not hit at the same percentage as the games with spreads, I play a lot of dogs and like the Puck Line when the situation arises. Take the Boston -1.5 for example, it hits at less than 50%. However, we are always getting better than 2/1 on a PL play, so even at a bit less than 50% you can pick up positive units.  The Bruins play is a short road favorite on the Puck Line, playing a team that just won as a home fav. New Jersey involves a Road Dog that isn't very good that just got shut out. They aren't playing a  team that is too bad, the opponent has to be at least 43%.  This insures a decent price. and getting shut out often inspires the team to give a great effort next game. Both of these situations have been very good this year, so if we can get at least one of them home its a winning night on the ice.


Now some might ask, why would you be happy with a split? Lets say we win the NJ game and lose the PL play. We are picking up .63 of a unit. We went 1-1 and we still pick up units. It doesn't sound sexy, but it adds to your bottom line. You get enough of these days and your bankroll will steadily grow. 


Plenty of games on the slate tonight.  Have a Great Day and as always, good luck with your action.

No comments:

Post a Comment