Wednesday, January 18 2017 RECAP

                                       NBA
Sacramento (-2): (79-32, 3-3)
Memphis/Washington UNDER 207: (51-24, 7-6)

Current Record: 169-162 (+6.60)


                                      NCAAB
St Joseph's (+6.5): 64-24, 5-3)
TCU/Texas Tech UNDER 136: (70-27, 5-1)
Boston College +15: (51-12, 0-0)
Nebraska -1.5: (90-47, 2-2)
Fresno St -5: (46-16, 0-0) (90-47, 2-2)

Current Record: 91-60 (+29.00)

UNDER 5.5 Boston/Detroit

Blog Record: 40-43 (-6.5)

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Well if I can't get a 70+% situation that had been 5-0 this year to win, then its time to just focus on basketball. 

Sacramento, just wow.  Up 19 at the half and get outscored 65-40 in the 2nd half. The Under winner did what so many NBA games do....have a high scoring 1H followed by a grinding low scoring 2H. Or a low scoring 1H followed by a high scoring 2H. The NBA is like no other sport. 

2-3 NCAAB tonight with Nebraska letting us down late after leading the entire game. The other wins and losses were deserved. Nebraska was the difference between a winning a losing night. 

Now I mentioned St Joseph and the strong betting action they were receiving. I have access to some pretty good wagering numbers, and a buddy of mine has been tracking the games too. What we have found is that when a team has a much higher percentage of the money bet on them relative to the amount of tickets wagered on them, they are a strong play.  I had St Joseph marked as a 2U play based on the situation they were in and the wagering action, and changed it at the last minute .  They had 48% of tickets and 83% of the money late afternoon. Checking the final numbers they were 46%-80%.

There were 6 games that stood out.  They were the following games:

Air Force 24-71

Indiana St 49-81

Temple: 56-87

St Joseph: 46-80

Oral Roberts: 33-66

Nebraska Omaha: 55-89

They went 5-1 with Indiana St the only loser. I will post these games daily and we will track them to see if they continue to win at a good clip. I will probably post the daily picks a little later, so that I can monitor the numbers as late as possible. 

Folks, this will get better. A rough stretch with some tough beats, I get these stretches every year and at the end of the season the numbers will show a nice profit. Don't get discouraged by a rough few days, we will turn this around I have no doubt about that. 

Check in tomorrow around 2:30pm PST for Thursday picks. 

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