Saturday, January 28, 2017

Saturday, January 28 2017 - GAME PICKS

                                                                  NBA
Detroit -3 (2U): (73-26, 4-0) (93-44,7-5) (53-25, 1-1)
Sacramento/Charlotte OVER 206: (39-18, 3-5)
Denver +3: (47-23, 2-5)
Denver/Phoenix OVER 228.5: (40-28, 5-2)
Brooklyn/Minnesota OVER 219.5 (2U): (39-9, 6-2)

Detroit has several situations working for them today. Playing an unrested team, fading a bad team that just won as a RD, and playing on a RF that just lost giving up a lot more than expected. Sac/Cha OVER a road team that was just a RD and gave up a lot. Denver/OVER an average RD on a winning streak. Brk/Minn OVER involves a losing team that just lost as a HF that went under, at least one of the teams is on a BTB.

Denver a 2U because of the multiple situations, Brk/Minn OVER 2U because that situation has been really good historically and TY.


                                                    NCAAB
Miami Florida +6: (52-13, 1-1)
Tennessee +2: (62-29, 2-0)
Depaul +16: (65-24, 6-3)
Texas Arlington -6 (96-39, 6-5)
East Tennessee St -4.5: (85-43, 4-2)
North Dakota -9: (69-28, 3-4)
Saint Louis +14.5: (42-17, 0-3)
No Colorado/So Utah UNDER 157: (91-33, 31-14)
UTEP: +13: (65-24, 6-3)
Western Illinois +1.5: (37-15, 5-4)
Colorado +7 : (52-13, 1-1)

Miami Fla fade a RF that gave a up a lot, and both teams shoot the ball pretty well. Tennessee is our underperforming HD, one of my favorite situations. Depaul a RD with a bad ATS vs a good ATS. Texas Arl is a good RF vs a bad team that just lost. E Tenn St is a HF that just scored a lot, both teams are average defensively. North Dakota a RF on a winning streak vs a bad team. ND was just in this situation the other night and lost, these dudes owe us one. Saint Louis a DD RD that isn't a great offensive team, off a home game where they gave up a lot. I know, that sounds like a recipe for disaster and its 0-3 TY.  But its always been a fantastic situation and I'm not giving up on it just yet. The UNDER play is our "famous" pace under play. My buddy just asked me if I have one, I said yes. He was trying to find an emoji for an orgasm, I told him please don't. Very solid angle and its been outstanding TY. UTEP same as Depaul, bad ATS vs good ATS. Western Illinois is a RF/small RD that scores a lot and just got blown out. Colorado same as Miami Fla.

I didn't designate anything as a 2U, but I do have a few I like more than some others.  Obviously the UNDER play involving pace is one of them. Tennessee is another, I love that underperforming HD play.  The sweet spot is around 3-6 points, but small dogs do well too (20-11 if its 2 or less).

Thank you very much for stopping by, I know we have had a rough stretch lately.  I'm not an excuse maker, scoreboard is scoreboard but man can anyone say we haven't caught many breaks lately? Its a new day, so lets stay positive and get a winning day.

Last thing.....I love horse racing and today is the Pegasus World Cup featuring California Chrome in the last race of his career.  Post Time is around 2:40 PST/5:30 EST and its on NBC.  His main rival is Arrogate, the horse that beat him in last years Breeders' Cup. That is my viewing tip for today.  Also the Kansas/Kentucky game at 3pm today should be a great one. If there are any horse racing fans out there, drop me a line in the comments. Curious if I have any racing fans. 
Have a great day and as always, good luck with your action. 

3 comments:

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  3. What a disgusting last 3 minutes on the Pace Under play. I'll comment later.

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