Tuesday, April 18, 2017

Tuesday, April 18 2017 - GAME PICKS/ Monday 4/17 RECAP

                                     NBA
Indiana +8.5
Indiana/Cleveland UNDER 208.5

Basketball
Final NBA Reg Season: 414-356 (+30.3)
Final NCAAB Reg Season214-157 (+42.3)

Post Season NCAAB: 26-37 (-15.57)
Post Season NBA: 6-8 (-2.8)

Combined Basketball: 655-556: (+54.23)
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                                                    NHL
Ottawa +146
Washington -143
Washington/Toronto OVER 5.5 (+117)

NHL Playoffs
Record: 2-3 (-.8)
ML: 1-2 (-.97)
O/U: 1-1 (+.17)
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                                                MLB - TOP PLAY
Houston -151
Houston (-1.5) +139
Milwaukee +176

MLB Top Plays:
Record: 18-13 (+6.01)
ML: 10-7 (+2.56)
RL: 6-5 (+2.59)
O/U: 2-1 (+.86)

MLB Reg Plays:
Record: 9-12 (+.96)
ML: 7-8 (+2.04)
RL: 2-4 (-1.08)
O/U: 0-0

Combined Baseball:
Record: 27-25 (+6.97)
ML: 17-15 (+4.6)
RL: 8-9 (+1.51)
O/U: 2-1 (+.86)

This Week: 6-2 (+5.25)
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Monday is in the books and what a great overall night we had. We split out the NBA, the Under never had a chance while we got a nice late game cover from Indiana for the split. I'm more than happy with that result after the total was basically done mid 2Q.

The NHL had a nice night with Ottawa blowing a 3-0 lead before winning in OT, cashing a very nice +146 ticket for us. Washington split their game, losing as a -143 favorite but getting the Over at +117. Think about it, if Washington can get the win in OT and the Rangers don't give up a goal with 17 seconds left the other night then the NHL would be doing fantastic. Another example of that thin line I talk about often. What a great night of NHL hockey, 4 games going into OT. Folks, if you haven't been watching the NHL playoffs you are missing out on some great action. I would rather watch an NHL game over an NBA game any day........and I know some people that couldn't care less about hockey. Their loss. 

Finally we get to my favorite sport of baseball, and a very nice 3-0 evening. Houston got us the double win, covering the Run Line with a solid 3-0 victory.  And how about that +176 with Milwaukee??  How many of you had trouble pulling the trigger on that one, or maybe just passed it altogether? Hopefully none of you, as Milwaukee fit a tremendous situational play while the Cubs are really scuffling right now. They are woefully overpriced every night. That line actually closed at +190!! so hopefully some of you got most of the juicy price. 

The baseball numbers are solid right now, currently at a nearly 7 unit profit. Notice that we are only 2 games above 50% yet have won nearly 7 units. That is the beauty of baseball and betting on ML sports in general. Basketball playoffs a little sluggish but again, the season long record is fantastic. 

All games are scheduled for the evening, so I will not have anything posted until later in the morning. I want the lines to settle a bit before posting the plays, as well seeing what the referee assignments are. Let's have another winning night, have a Great Day and Good Luck with your action.  I will see you a bit later.

11:15am Update

                                       NBA
Toronto -7
Milwaukee/Toronto OVER 193.5
Boston -7
Los Angeles Clippers -8.5

                             MLB - REG PLAYS
New York Mets (-1.5) +135
Pittsburgh +122

                             MLB - TOP PLAYS
Milwaukee +150

I'm looking for the home teams to bounce back in Game 2. The OVER play is a pretty good one, even though these teams play a bit more to the Under than Over when they get together. Toronto has a history of losing GM 1 and playing much better in Game 2. Another interesting stat is that Milwaukee is 15-1 to the Over when they had twice as many assists than turnovers the previous game.  

The Brewers fit the same situation as last night, swinging some good bats lately so we will once again take the generous price. The Mets fit the same situation as Houston last night, and Pittsburgh fits a nice early season spot. Its 2-2 so far TY playing on dogs.

This should do it, enjoy tonight's action.

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