Monday, April 24, 2017

Monday, April 24 2017 - GAME PICKS/ Sunday 4/23 RECAP

                                     NBA
Los Angeles Clippers/Utah UNDER 198.5

Basketball
Final NBA Reg Season: 414-356 (+30.3)
Final NCAAB Reg Season: 214-157 (+42.3)

Post Season NCAAB: 26-37 (-15.57)
Post Season NBA: 12-20 (-11.0)

Combined Basketball: 660-565: (+46.03)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                               MLB - TOP PLAYS
Colorado +101
Arizona +123
Miami/San Diego UNDER 8.5 
Detroit +105

                             MLB - REG PLAYS
Tampa Bay +104
Chicago White Sox +182
San Diego +105

MLB Top Plays:
Record: 27-22 (+6.79)
ML: 16-12 (4.38)
RL: 8-6 (+3.85)
O/U: 3-4 (-1.44)

MLB Reg Plays:
Record: 11-21 (-5.18)
ML: 9-14 (-1.1)
RL: 2-7 (-4.08)
O/U: 0-0

Combined Baseball:
Record: 38-43 (+1.61)
ML: 25-26 (+3.28)
RL: 10-13 (-.23)
O/U: 3-4 (-1.44)

This Week: 24-36 (-10.77)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Good news.  The week is over. Man, that was a rough one. The baseball wasn't really that bad, going 14-18 losing 1.22 units.  Far from awful. The NBA playoffs continue to struggle going 7-13 losing around 8 units. Overs go Under, Unders go Over. 

Yesterday was looking good, then we get a blown save from TB in the 9th inning and they lose in extras. A 2U swing, combined with the 9th inning blown RL with Philly Friday that was a nearly 5 unit swing with those 2 blown saves. Give us just one of those and we have a winning baseball week. San Diego was sailing along and then Boom, Miami explodes for a 7-3 win, a disappointing way to end the baseball day. 

How about those Chicago White Sox cashing at a juicy +182. A really good spot where they were massively under valued. Again, Cleveland and the Cubs are way over valued early in the season coming off a World Series appearance. I mentioned before the year we will target spots for big dogs that make sense, and we have hit a few nice ones already this year. That game was worth nearly 2 wins when you consider the price. 

OK folks, its time to put that behind us. Baseball shows a small profit so far, and with a little luck would be doing great. I say that not to make excuses, but to illustrate that the baseball will be just fine. I know some will look at it and say, its up just a unit and change.  Well, some people are getting crushed already. Its a long year and we are just getting started. 

Light night on the diamond tonight, and a little NBA that just has to get better. Very frustrating to have the fantastic regular season and such a poor playoffs. But we have plenty of time to turn that around.

                                     NBA
Toronto 1H -3
Toronto -6
Milwaukee/Toronto OVER 192 (2U)
Golden St/Portland UNDER 219.5

                                 MLB - REG PLAY
Texas (-1.5) +156 (ML price must be at least -130 or higher)

The Mil/Tor total has a referee that is a solid Over referee and also several Over angles that triggered. They did play to an Over in Toronto, so despite the lack of scoring in Milwaukee we will play the Over and get a bit of line value as 192 is pretty low. 

Texas is our lone baseball play tonight, and it is a RL play. Monitor that line and play only if the line stays at -130 or above. That is the baseline for profitability, games that are below that line have shown to not perform at a profitable level. 

Also, make sure you subscribe to my Twitter feed, from time to time I will post updates or a 2H play. 

Ok folks we have 4 NBA plays with a 2U total and 1 MLB game. Have a Great Day and Good Luck with your action.

No comments:

Post a Comment