Thursday, April 27, 2017

Thursday, April 27 2017 - GAME PICKS / Wednesday 4/26 RECAP

                                      NBA
Washington -6
Atlanta/Washington UNDER 212.5
Chicago/Boston UNDER 202

Basketball
Final NBA Reg Season: 414-356 (+30.3)
Final NCAAB Reg Season: 214-157 (+42.3)

Post Season NCAAB: 26-37 (-15.57)
Post Season NBA: 18-23 (-6.3)

Combined Basketball: 666-568: (+50.73)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   MLB Top Plays:
Record: 28-22 (+7.79)
ML: 17-12 (5.38)
RL: 8-6 (+3.85)
O/U: 3-4 (-1.44)

MLB Reg Plays:
Record: 11-26 (-10.38)
ML: 9-15 (-2.1)
RL: 2-9 (-6.08)
O/U: 0-2 (-2.2)

Combined Baseball:
Record: 39-48 (-2.59)
ML: 26-27 (+3.28)
RL: 10-15 (-2.23)
O/U: 3-6 (-3.64)

This Week: 7-8 (+.5)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tough beat on the Wizards side play, they had a spread lead often but some late buckets beat us.  The Under was a nice win. The late game saw that total hit 205.5 right before game time. I hope you guys waited on that line, I was waiting on it and almost forgot to play it. Got a bet in just before tip and got extremely lucky with the 205.5.  I'll grade it as a loss. So a 1-2 NBA night.

                                     NBA
Toronto/Milwaukee UNDER 195 (2U IF Milwaukee is favored, currently -1.5)

                               MLB - TOP PLAY
Boston -174 (2U)
Boston (-1.5) +127
Los Angeles/San Francisco UNDER 7.5 (Pass at 7)

                               MLB - REG PLAY      
San Diego +156

I have conflicting stuff on the NBA side so its a pass, but I think Toronto ends it tonight.  They are just a better team and I can't see this going seven games. Officially its a pass, but if you need a side wager I would play Toronto. The Under is solid and is a 2U as long as Milwaukee stays favored.  Currently -1.5.  

Boston fits a very strong situation that wins at 85% of the time with the RL hitting 67%. Its a hefty price, but the historical data shows its still a very good play. We will make the ML a 2U play and keep the RL at 1U. 

The LA/SF Under play must be 7.5 or its a pass. Its another very strong play, hitting its last 9, and 16 of 18.  The only thing keeping me from making it a 2U is its a day game in SF which gets better scoring than a night game, and the fact these teams are due to score a bit more than they have.  We will go 1U UNDER 7.5.

Finally we have the Padres coming off a very nice win late, rallying in the 9th for the win. This triggers a nice play on a team trailing late and coming back for the win. Its a dog play the following day, and another angle was triggered with it being a 9th inning rally.  Now usually with my baseball every angle triggered gets a unit. But Jared Weaver is on the hill for San Diego, and there is no way in hell I will ever put more than 1 unit on that guy. But we have 2 plays that triggered, so JD gets our money today. 1U San Diego as I hold my nose as I make this play.

Ok folks, some nice baseball tonight and a solid NBA total.  I am off to Las Vegas tonight for the weekend, anniversary trip with my wife. I should have everything ready early each day this weekend, not much time later in the day. Please check Twitter for updates and other info.

Have a Great Day and as always, Good Luck with your action.

No comments:

Post a Comment