Washington -103 Dog
Washington/Miami OVER 9.5
MLB Top Plays:
Record: 82-88 (-10.81)
ML: 44-48 (-11.99)
RL: 20-28 (-2.42)
O/U: 19-14 (+3.6)
MLB Reg Plays:
Record: 105-109 (+.83)
ML: 46-52 (+1.87)
RL: 24-20 (+10.16)
O/U: 35-42 (-11.2)
Combined Baseball:
Record: 187-197 (-9.98)
ML: 90-100 (-10.12)
RL: 44-48 (+7.74)
O/U: 54-56 (-7.6)
WNBA Season Record: 8-6 (+1.4)
This Week: 1-1 (-.03)
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Brutal loss with Washington while the Over was a winner after 3 innings. That play was so good I should have told you folks to play it 2U. If any of you did well done. Just a ridiculous Over record in that situation.
Today is a very big card, so let's get right to it.
MLB - TOP PLAY
Cleveland (-1.5) +107
MLB - REG PLAY
Philadelphia +143
Kansas City +176
Pittsburgh/Milwaukee UNDER 9.5
Chicago White Sox/Minnesota UNDER 9.5
LA Angels +236
Ok so lots of dogs so lets break a few down.
- Philadelphia is this price against Leake? Philly played them tough in StL not long ago, Cardinals scuffling a bit. The system is a bad Home Dog playing a marginal team. No way should StL be favored in this price range, I think Philly is a very live dog tonight.
- Kansas City going against Sale. Sale lost a 1-0 game last start vs Philly, while KC is really playing well right now. The system is on KC as a decent Home Dog playing very well recently winning 6 of 7. Go to MLB.com and look at how tonight's lineup has done vs Sale, its not bad at all. I'm on the Royals as a very live dog. Their pitcher is young and a wild card, that is another reason for the inflated price. He pitched very well against the Angels last start. The public says no way Sale loses twice in a row, but at this price I'll take that chance.
- The Angels are playing a Yankees team that has lost 6 straight. Pineda going for them, he's probably their best pitcher and maybe the home cooking gets them back on track. If you look at the history of tonight's lineup for the Angels they don't do bad against Pineda in a limited sample size. Bridwell for the Angels pitched decent enough in relief vs NY last week in Anaheim. We have 2 systems in play. One is the one I've talked about regarding playing against a good team after losing 2 games following an extended win streak. Its a 10 game block and the Yankees are 0-4 over the first 10. Houston just went 4-6 in their 10 game block. The other system fit is fading a team that has lost 3 straight blowing a lead each time. Its a somewhat limited sample size, but with 2 systems in play and the massive price you are getting its worth the risk. You can also play it for a half unit or a bit less at this price.
The 2 Unders fit a system play that plays on the Under with a Home fav that just played a game where they didn't score much. They also hit a decent amount of HRs. Milwaukee and Minnesota trigger these plays.
Ok folks today is the type of day that really tests you as its hard to play these kinds of prices. Sale and Pineda are very good pitchers but we are going against them tonight. The Phillies aren't very good but bad teams win 60-70 games a year and I think they are way over priced tonight. I took the 2 big dogs for a half unit. If you can't play against KC or Boston I understand, but I think the Philies are a must play tonight at this price.
Have a Great Day and Good Luck with your action.
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