Monday, June 12, 2017

Monday, June 12 2017 - GAME PICKS, NBA Game 5 Breakdown/ Weekend RECAP

FRIDAY:
MLB - TOP PLAY
Arizona -145
Arizona (-1.5) +143

                                    MLB - REG PLAY
Baltimore +136
Seattle +116
Cleveland (-1.5) -115
NY Mets/Atlanta OVER 10

Added Twitter Plays:
LA Angels +152
LAA/Houston OVER 8.5
Cincinnati F5 +160
Minnesota F5 -107
Miami F5 +109
Washington -1/2 F5 -130
Houston Team Total OVER 4.5 (-109)
Minnesota/San Francisco UNDER 8

Saturday:
WNBA:
Los Angeles/Phoenix UNDER 163

MLB:
1h Mia -115
Min/SF 1h under 4 -119
Game 2 Mets 1h -.5 -110
Yankees -1.5 -120

Sunday:
NY Yankees -1.5 (+105)
Oakland +1.5 (-110)
Colorado +181
Philadelphia/St Louis F5 UNDER 5
Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) +117
Washington -1/2 F5 -180 Tor/Sea F5 UNDER 4.5

WNBA:
Minn/Dallas OVER 170.5


MLB Top Plays:
Record: 76-80 (-8.74)
ML: 42-44 (-11.25)
RL: 19-26 (-1.49)
O/U: 15-10 (+4.0)

MLB Reg Plays:
Record: 91-96 (+4.02)
ML: 38-42 (+2.27)
RL: 23-18 (+11.35)
O/U: 30-36 (-9.6)

Combined Baseball:
Record: 167-176 (-4.72)
ML: 80-81 (-8.98)
RL: 42-44 (+9.86)
O/U: 45-46 (-5.6)

WNBA Season Record: 4-6 (-2.6)

This Week: 22-22 (-5.02)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rough week featuring some brutal beats on some of the F5 bets. Flip those games and the week is almost even. I added the 2 NBA totals picks to the record, as I did say I would play them. 

I'm going to wait until the morning to post some of the plays. One game I will give out now is Cleveland +9. If you have 8.5 buy the half for a dime. I think this game will be close, and if the Warriors fail to keep their composure I would not be shocked at all if we see a Game 6. Cleveland is not going to let Curry or Thompson go off. They are perfectly willing to let Green fire away from behind the arc as well as Iguodala. They are also counting on the referees to swallow their whistles and allow them to continue to grab and hold away from the ball. This is a big reason that allowed them to come back last year, and if it happens again it will be huge. Curry and Thompson will have difficulty getting space if the referees fail to call fouls. Kerr must be vocal throughout the game when this happens. When Curry does get the ball out high and has a big on him, such as Thompson, he must be able to take him off the dribble. Green can't settle for jacking threes, he also needs to put the ball on the floor or find his favorite spot from beyond the arc. Green has a few spots that he likes, and when he isn't on that spot he must resist the temptation of jacking it up. He is great from just off the top of the key. 

GS must do a better job of guarding the arc, they cannot let Love/Smith/Korver etc.. have uncontested 3's or they will not win. They did an excellent job of that the first 3 games, but Game 4 was a joke. That was the worst I've seen them all year as far as defending the arc. They must do a better job. I also think you see more doubling of Irving, and once he gets rid of the ball be more disciplined in their rotations. 

They must bring better intensity and toughness, and defend their home court. Keep their composure, don't cry to the refs. Don't get caught up in talking. You are at home, with the crowd on your side. Let Cleveland run their mouths, they are just trying to get under your skin. Play your game, keep your composure, and stay with the game plan that has served you well all year. Green has to quit acting like an asshole every time he gets a foul called on him. 

I do think GS wins a close game filled with pressure down the stretch. They make the plays needed, and Curry makes the late buckets to ensure the win. Should be a great one.

                                         MLB - TOP PLAY
Cincinnati/San Diego UNDER 9
New York Yankees (-1.5) +111

                                          MLB - REG PLAY
Cincinnati +108
Chicago White Sox +102




No comments:

Post a Comment