Friday July 13, 2018 RECAP

Tonight's Plays. WNBA/CFL went 5-2 (+3.9). MLB a rough night going 2-5 (-2.17). Combined we had a solid winning night. 

MLB - System

Miami +113

NY Yankees -110 (ceiling is -115)

Toronto +193

Detroit +230

St Louis (-1.5) +134

MLB - Program

Seattle +129 (-123)

MLB - 538

Texas Ceiling -117 (58%) currently -115

CFL

Toronto +10

Toronto/Edmonton UNDER 53.5 (2U)

Toronto has an interesting system at work, I was looking around this am and found this one. I also found it works for the NFL too. Its a play on a team that has an average DPS of XXX or worse. Ok Biz, WTF is DPS?? DPS is Delta Points Scored, it is the points a team should score based on the total and the spread. Lets say the total is 47 and you are a 3 point dog.  The final should be 25-22. Your DPS should be 22. Now if you are scoring less than what you should be scoring, you get a negative DPS….and if you score more then obviously a positive DPS. Toronto has been awful scoring XXX or less on average every game. So basically we are taking a team that has been underperforming this year offensively, which is good because its basically an anti-public play. 

The UNDER has a few things working and I’m making it a 2U play. The first is a weather angle, when the wind and temp is in a certain range then Unders are very good. This game falls into range, its at the bottom of the range but still fits. 31-7 UNDER. We also have a decent sized HF with a total that isn’t low. 57-26 UNDER.  I also have another system similar to that one, and also is based on the last game offensive output for both teams. 54-18 UNDER

WNBA

Indiana +10.5 (38-11, 3-1) (50-19, 3-0)

Indiana/Atlanta OVER 158 (58-32, 4-1)

Phoenix +5 (72-36, 10-9)

Phoenix/Connecticut OVER 169 (49-25, 4-1)

Chicago +10 (15-5, 1-3) (72-36, 10-9)

Both totals are visitors off a blowout loss. Solid Over spot. Indiana a play against Atlanta (HF off a high scoring win). Phx and Chi are also plays fading the opponent. 5 plays here.

So 7 MLB plays, 2 CFL and 5 WNBA. Very busy night. Also, how many have France as a future bet?? Just curious. Have a Great Friday night.

Biz