Dallas 1H -3.5: (50-23, 0-1)
LA Clippers -2.5: (44-21, 2-1) (22-5, 0-2)
Charlotte +16 (2U): (52-14, 6-1) (64-15, 7-1) (29-10, 5-2)
Boston -6: (44-14, 0-0)
Atlanta/Miami UNDER 205: (50-21, 6-3)
New Orleans/Detroit UNDER 212: (32-19, 6-4)
Dallas 1H fading a dog that just won and there is a net points filter also. LAC is fading a HD that just got blown out as a HD. Also playing a RF off an extended layoff. Charlotte is a RD that has allowed a lot lately playing a team that just won a close one. Also a RD that just got blown out, they aren't a poor offensive team, and they are playing a good team that isn't on a BTB. Boston is fading a RD on a BTB that has had little rest lately, they just played at home and both teams are good. Atl/Mia UNDER is a RD that has allowed a lot lately and they are a good scoring team. NO/Det UNDER is a poor RD on a BTB that just lost scoring a lot from beyond the arc.
I'm making Charlotte a 2U play, they have several very good angles going tonight. Warrior games are always a crap shoot, they can blow teams out or let them hang around for the backdoor. Lets hope Charlotte can stay within the generous number.
NCAAB
Bradley +10.5: (168-70, 0-0)
South Dakota/Neb Omaha UNDER 162.5: (91-34, 31-15)
Tennessee Martin -1: (73-29, 4-3)
Drake +17 (2U): (46-10, 10-0)
Drake +1259 (1/2U): (17-40, 4-6)
Marquette/St John's UNDER 163: (32-14, 7-5)
Bradley is a fade against a DD HF that just played at home, playing a team that lost by a decent amount. SD/Neb Om UNDER is the pace play that has taken 2 brutal beats lately. Its a solid situation and we go with it again tonight. Tenn Martin is fading a bad conf HD that just lost and didn't cover at home. Drake is fading a big favorite that has gone Under their last 3 games, they are a very good scoring team playing a team that is a decent offensive team. Marq/St John's UNDER is play where both teams just went Over, with the road team having forced a lot of turnovers that past several games.
I've made Drake a 2U play and suggest a 1/2 unit on the ML. This situation has been spectacular, and i wrote about it extensively a while back. This is from my Jan 21 Recap:
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Ok, about that situation that is now 9-0 after Providence covered today. My buddy in Florida loves that angle, and told me that he sprinkled some on the ML the last time. It was the Georgia St game from Monday. I said it covers over 80% of the time, but wins the game only 30%. You would need to average around +335 to break even. Then it hit me.......hey genius, we're talking about mainly DD dogs here. Of course they will be at least that price, so I did a little research to find out just what kind of prices these dogs paid on the ML. Get a load of this.
2016: 9-0 ATS (+9.00)
4-5 ML (+25.84) Wins: +341, +1432, +907, +429
2015: 14-4-1 ATS (+17.8)
5-14 ML (+25.59) +1500 NCAA Tourney Mid Tenn ST, +1000, +397, +709, +423. The last 3 were ON THE SAME DAY.
2014: 5-1 ATS (+3.95)
1-5 ML (+.12) +537
2013: 6-2 ATS (+3.9)
2-6 ML (+5.59) +674, +515
2012: 1-2 ATS (-1.1)
0-3 ML (-3.15)
2011: 6-0 ATS (+6.0)
3-3 ML (+6.95)
2010: 4-1 ATS: (+2.95)
2-3 ML: Database I checked didn't go back this far, but safe to say they were around +500 putting it at around (+9.85)
Most years its more profitable, and some years a lot more, playing these huge dogs on the ML. It never occurred to me how good this was until my buddy mentioned he sprinkled some on the ML the other day. Obviously, this will be added when this play comes up again.
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The ML is NOT a high percentage play, but when it hits it hits Huge. That is why I suggest a smaller bet, if the team covers but doesn't win you still make a profit.
This is the final play list. Thanks for dropping by, have a great day, and good luck with your action.
Last thing.....I post on the site promo thread and also on my Twitter page when the plays are posted. I am starting to post some plays the night before, and the remaining plays the following day. I don't have all the plays ready the night before, several pop up the day of the game. So if you want to know when the plays are ready, subscribe to my twitter page. I post there as soon as the plays are up.
Last thing.....I post on the site promo thread and also on my Twitter page when the plays are posted. I am starting to post some plays the night before, and the remaining plays the following day. I don't have all the plays ready the night before, several pop up the day of the game. So if you want to know when the plays are ready, subscribe to my twitter page. I post there as soon as the plays are up.
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