Friday Recap, August 17 2018

A complete split out thanks to the awful CFL game. MLB again with a solid night, 3-1 missing the 4-0 losing the OVER in the NYM/Phil game.  We got 3 runs early but just couldn’t scratch across much more. A great late inning rally by both teams got us the OVER in Minnesota, Mil/StL gave us a ridiculous sweat after they were cruising to an Under but it got there…and our Parlay hit when the Yankees game was called after 7 inn.

The WNBA was 4-3, but a little disappointed in those totals. Geezus I thought Dirk suited up in Dallas. High scores everywhere, but they didn’t crush us going 2-3 while we got both sides to hit to get us a positive day with the ladies. 

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MLB

NY Mets/Philadelphia OVER 7.5

This one is team specific to the Mets.  They have gone OVER the last 19 games as a Road Dog of 140+ when they lost their previous game when they held the lead and its AASB (After All Star Break). Today we have Syndegaard vs Nola, two very good pitchers. There have been several games with strong pitching matchups and the games has soared Over the number. Take the OVER 7.5

Detroit/Minnesota OVER 8.5

This is an umpire play with Las Diaz behind the plate. AL games with a total of 8-8.5 he has gone 49-19 since 2008 and 2-2 this year. Strictly an umpire play, take the OVER 8.5

Milwaukee/St Louis UNDER 8

Peralta has never faced St Louis, and his K rate is over 12+ per 9 innings in road games. Milwaukee has struggled facing Flaherty in the past, hitting .143 in 48 plate appearances. Flaherty also pitches much better at home. Take the UNDER 8

NY Yankees/Washington/Cleveland Parlay (1U/1.38)

Marcus Stroman has lost his last 12 starts as a Road Dog when he won his previous start. 12-1 in his career. Yankees -190 so I’m attaching it with these two games. Scherzer home vs Miami and Carrasco home vs Baltimore. Both huge favorites. 

4 MLB games.

WNBA

Los Angeles/Washington UNDER 158 (143-82, 3-1) (59-16, 8-3)

Los Angeles +3.5 (62-24, 5-2)

Minnesota/Connecticut UNDER 161 (143-82, 3-1) (59-16, 8-3)

Las Vegas/Dallas UNDER 175 (143-82, 3-1) (63-24, 0-0)

New York/Seattle UNDER 163.5 (143-82, 3-1)

Atlanta/Phoenix UNDER 167 (143-82, 3-1)

Phoenix -3.5 (87-30, 1-2)

These totals fit a late season system that is very simple. Bet the UNDER game 31 or later (only 35 games in the season). 143-82 and 3-1 this year.  I just stumbled onto this one the other day. Every game fits. LV/Dallas fits a sub category involving 2 bad teams. 

LA/Wash and Minn/Conn also fit a solid system, two winning teams with the home team playing very well lately, winning 5/6 out of their last 7 games. These are also Under situations.

LA fits a situation involving a road dog that hasn’t covered their last 3 games.  Phoenix is a play against their opponent, Atlanta a Road Dog that has won their last 3 games.

7 WNBA games

CFL

Ottawa/Winnipeg UNDER 54 (44-16, 6-3) (55-18, 1-1)

Winnipeg 1H -3.5

Winnipeg -6.5 (40-16, 6-1)